| レート | 1831 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 登場確率 | 対戦相手 | レート | 期待勝率 | 合計期待勝率 | |
| 1回戦 | 横山泰明 | 1649 | 74.03% | 74.03% | |
| 2回戦 | 渡辺明 | 1813 | 52.59% | 38.93% | |
| 3回戦 | 62.50% | 豊島将之 | 1797 | 54.88% | 23.02% |
| 25.81% | 上野裕寿 | 1739 | 62.94% | ||
| 11.68% | 石井健太郎 | 1655 | 73.36% | ||
| 準々決勝 | 35.32% | 佐藤天彦 | 1792 | 55.59% | 13.88% |
| 18.78% | 菅井竜也 | 1716 | 65.97% | ||
| 14.47% | 古賀悠聖 | 1745 | 62.13% | ||
| 14.35% | 大橋貴洸 | 1764 | 59.52% | ||
| 13.89% | 澤田真吾 | 1761 | 59.94% | ||
| 3.19% | 佐々木慎 | 1627 | 76.39% | ||
| 準決勝 | 20.25% | 斎藤慎太郎 | 1867 | 44.84% | 7.31% |
| 19.63% | 増田康宏 | 1837 | 49.14% | ||
| 19.61% | 藤本渚 | 1862 | 45.55% | ||
| 17.13% | 佐々木勇気 | 1802 | 54.16% | ||
| 5.78% | 青嶋未来 | 1750 | 61.45% | ||
| 4.39% | 髙見泰地 | 1731 | 64.01% | ||
| 3.71% | 稲葉陽 | 1672 | 71.41% | ||
| 2.81% | 池永天志 | 1703 | 67.63% | ||
| 2.29% | 屋敷伸之 | 1666 | 72.11% | ||
| 2.20% | 大石直嗣 | 1699 | 68.13% | ||
| 1.71% | 佐藤康光 | 1673 | 71.29% | ||
| 0.34% | 渡辺大夢 | 1561 | 82.55% | ||
| 0.14% | 生垣寛人 | 1552 | 83.29% | ||
| 決勝 | 47.20% | 藤井聡太 | 2081 | 19.17% | 2.23% |
| 16.80% | 伊藤匠 | 1966 | 31.49% | ||
| 15.78% | 永瀬拓矢 | 1942 | 34.55% | ||
| 4.41% | 服部慎一郎 | 1862 | 45.55% | ||
| 4.24% | 近藤誠也 | 1811 | 52.88% | ||
| 3.70% | 糸谷哲郎 | 1832 | 49.86% | ||
| 2.72% | 広瀬章人 | 1844 | 48.13% | ||
| 1.16% | 山崎隆之 | 1776 | 57.85% | ||
| 0.83% | 久保利明 | 1737 | 63.21% | ||
| 0.72% | 千田翔太 | 1730 | 64.14% | ||
| 0.57% | 本田奎 | 1706 | 67.25% | ||
| 0.49% | 佐々木大地 | 1753 | 61.04% | ||
| 0.34% | 中村太地 | 1651 | 73.81% | ||
| 0.27% | 戸辺誠 | 1681 | 70.34% | ||
| 0.21% | 郷田真隆 | 1695 | 68.63% | ||
| 0.16% | 吉池隆真 | 1695 | 68.63% | ||
| 0.13% | 木村一基 | 1657 | 73.14% | ||
| 0.09% | 冨田誠也 | 1676 | 70.94% | ||
| 0.08% | 行方尚史 | 1621 | 77.01% | ||
| 0.07% | 柵木幹太 | 1649 | 74.03% | ||
| 0.00% | 横山友紀 | 1493 | 87.50% | ||
| 0.00% | 勝又清和 | 1480 | 88.29% | ||
| 0.00% | 阪口悟 | 1446 | 90.17% | ||
| 0.00% | 松本佳介 | 1447 | 90.12% | ||
| 0.00% | 西山朋佳 | 1416 | 91.60% | 注：「合計期待勝率」は例えば２回戦ならば、 ２回戦を勝ち抜く確率を示す。 ・合計期待勝率＝１つ下の対局の合計期待勝率× （対戦相手ごとの登場確率×期待勝率の総和） | |