| レート | 1844 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 登場確率 | 対戦相手 | レート | 期待勝率 | 合計期待勝率 | |
| 1回戦 | 吉池隆真 | 1695 | 70.22% | 70.22% | |
| 2回戦 | 千田翔太 | 1730 | 65.84% | 46.23% | |
| 3回戦 | 88.50% | 永瀬拓矢 | 1942 | 36.26% | 19.07% |
| 10.41% | 行方尚史 | 1621 | 78.31% | ||
| 1.09% | 西山朋佳 | 1416 | 92.16% | ||
| 準々決勝 | 58.30% | 伊藤匠 | 1966 | 33.13% | 8.25% |
| 27.12% | 糸谷哲郎 | 1832 | 51.73% | ||
| 6.24% | 佐々木大地 | 1753 | 62.80% | ||
| 4.05% | 郷田真隆 | 1695 | 70.22% | ||
| 2.17% | 冨田誠也 | 1676 | 72.45% | ||
| 2.12% | 柵木幹太 | 1649 | 75.45% | ||
| 準決勝 | 65.60% | 藤井聡太 | 2081 | 20.35% | 2.72% |
| 11.59% | 近藤誠也 | 1811 | 54.73% | ||
| 10.19% | 服部慎一郎 | 1862 | 47.41% | ||
| 3.60% | 山崎隆之 | 1776 | 59.66% | ||
| 2.99% | 久保利明 | 1737 | 64.93% | ||
| 2.32% | 本田奎 | 1706 | 68.88% | ||
| 1.75% | 中村太地 | 1651 | 75.23% | ||
| 1.24% | 戸辺誠 | 1681 | 71.88% | ||
| 0.64% | 木村一基 | 1657 | 74.58% | ||
| 0.05% | 横山友紀 | 1493 | 88.29% | ||
| 0.02% | 勝又清和 | 1480 | 89.05% | ||
| 0.01% | 阪口悟 | 1446 | 90.81% | ||
| 0.01% | 松本佳介 | 1447 | 90.77% | ||
| 決勝 | 12.50% | 斎藤慎太郎 | 1867 | 46.69% | 1.50% |
| 11.97% | 藤本渚 | 1862 | 47.41% | ||
| 11.31% | 増田康宏 | 1837 | 51.01% | ||
| 9.03% | 佐々木勇気 | 1802 | 56.02% | ||
| 8.83% | 渡辺明 | 1813 | 54.45% | ||
| 8.25% | 佐藤天彦 | 1792 | 57.43% | ||
| 8.04% | 豊島将之 | 1797 | 56.72% | ||
| 7.31% | 羽生善治 | 1831 | 51.87% | ||
| 2.83% | 大橋貴洸 | 1764 | 61.31% | ||
| 2.70% | 菅井竜也 | 1716 | 67.63% | ||
| 2.69% | 澤田真吾 | 1761 | 61.72% | ||
| 2.62% | 青嶋未来 | 1750 | 63.21% | ||
| 2.53% | 古賀悠聖 | 1745 | 63.87% | ||
| 1.97% | 上野裕寿 | 1739 | 64.67% | ||
| 1.87% | 髙見泰地 | 1731 | 65.71% | ||
| 1.29% | 稲葉陽 | 1672 | 72.91% | ||
| 1.09% | 池永天志 | 1703 | 69.25% | ||
| 0.84% | 大石直嗣 | 1699 | 69.73% | ||
| 0.78% | 屋敷伸之 | 1666 | 73.59% | ||
| 0.60% | 佐藤康光 | 1673 | 72.80% | ||
| 0.36% | 石井健太郎 | 1655 | 74.80% | ||
| 0.25% | 横山泰明 | 1649 | 75.45% | ||
| 0.23% | 佐々木慎 | 1627 | 77.72% | ||
| 0.08% | 渡辺大夢 | 1561 | 83.60% | ||
| 0.03% | 生垣寛人 | 1552 | 84.30% | 注：「合計期待勝率」は例えば２回戦ならば、 ２回戦を勝ち抜く確率を示す。 ・合計期待勝率＝１つ下の対局の合計期待勝率× （対戦相手ごとの登場確率×期待勝率の総和） | |