| レート | 1862 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 登場確率 | 対戦相手 | レート | 期待勝率 | 合計期待勝率 | |
| 1回戦 | 松本佳介 | 1447 | 91.60% | 91.60% | |
| 2回戦 | 86.98% | 山崎隆之 | 1776 | 62.13% | 60.43% |
| 13.02% | 阪口悟 | 1446 | 91.64% | ||
| 3回戦 | 93.30% | 藤井聡太 | 2081 | 22.09% | 15.61% |
| 5.89% | 木村一基 | 1657 | 76.50% | ||
| 0.81% | 勝又清和 | 1480 | 90.02% | ||
| 準々決勝 | 46.40% | 近藤誠也 | 1811 | 57.29% | 10.19% |
| 16.17% | 久保利明 | 1737 | 67.25% | ||
| 14.33% | 本田奎 | 1706 | 71.05% | ||
| 13.81% | 中村太地 | 1651 | 77.11% | ||
| 8.52% | 戸辺誠 | 1681 | 73.92% | ||
| 0.77% | 横山友紀 | 1493 | 89.32% | ||
| 準決勝 | 35.63% | 永瀬拓矢 | 1942 | 38.69% | 4.41% |
| 35.57% | 伊藤匠 | 1966 | 35.46% | ||
| 11.68% | 糸谷哲郎 | 1832 | 54.31% | ||
| 8.25% | 広瀬章人 | 1844 | 52.59% | ||
| 3.30% | 千田翔太 | 1730 | 68.13% | ||
| 2.07% | 佐々木大地 | 1753 | 65.19% | ||
| 1.08% | 郷田真隆 | 1695 | 72.34% | ||
| 0.84% | 吉池隆真 | 1695 | 72.34% | ||
| 0.57% | 行方尚史 | 1621 | 80.02% | ||
| 0.53% | 冨田誠也 | 1676 | 74.47% | ||
| 0.47% | 柵木幹太 | 1649 | 77.31% | ||
| 0.01% | 西山朋佳 | 1416 | 92.87% | ||
| 決勝 | 12.50% | 斎藤慎太郎 | 1867 | 49.28% | 2.55% |
| 11.97% | 藤本渚 | 1862 | 50.00% | ||
| 11.31% | 増田康宏 | 1837 | 53.59% | ||
| 9.03% | 佐々木勇気 | 1802 | 58.55% | ||
| 8.83% | 渡辺明 | 1813 | 57.01% | ||
| 8.25% | 佐藤天彦 | 1792 | 59.94% | ||
| 8.04% | 豊島将之 | 1797 | 59.25% | ||
| 7.31% | 羽生善治 | 1831 | 54.45% | ||
| 2.83% | 大橋貴洸 | 1764 | 63.74% | ||
| 2.70% | 菅井竜也 | 1716 | 69.86% | ||
| 2.69% | 澤田真吾 | 1761 | 64.14% | ||
| 2.62% | 青嶋未来 | 1750 | 65.58% | ||
| 2.53% | 古賀悠聖 | 1745 | 66.23% | ||
| 1.97% | 上野裕寿 | 1739 | 67.00% | ||
| 1.87% | 髙見泰地 | 1731 | 68.01% | ||
| 1.29% | 稲葉陽 | 1672 | 74.91% | ||
| 1.09% | 池永天志 | 1703 | 71.41% | ||
| 0.84% | 大石直嗣 | 1699 | 71.88% | ||
| 0.78% | 屋敷伸之 | 1666 | 75.55% | ||
| 0.60% | 佐藤康光 | 1673 | 74.80% | ||
| 0.36% | 石井健太郎 | 1655 | 76.70% | ||
| 0.25% | 横山泰明 | 1649 | 77.31% | ||
| 0.23% | 佐々木慎 | 1627 | 79.46% | ||
| 0.08% | 渡辺大夢 | 1561 | 84.98% | ||
| 0.03% | 生垣寛人 | 1552 | 85.63% | 注：「合計期待勝率」は例えば２回戦ならば、 ２回戦を勝ち抜く確率を示す。 ・合計期待勝率＝１つ下の対局の合計期待勝率× （対戦相手ごとの登場確率×期待勝率の総和） | |