| レート | 1811 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 登場確率 | 対戦相手 | レート | 期待勝率 | 合計期待勝率 | |
| 2回戦 | 77.31% | 本田奎 | 1706 | 64.67% | 69.55% |
| 22.69% | 横山友紀 | 1493 | 86.18% | ||
| 3回戦 | 41.16% | 中村太地 | 1651 | 71.53% | 46.40% |
| 36.03% | 久保利明 | 1737 | 60.49% | ||
| 22.81% | 戸辺誠 | 1681 | 67.88% | ||
| 準々決勝 | 75.76% | 藤井聡太 | 2081 | 17.45% | 11.59% |
| 15.61% | 服部慎一郎 | 1862 | 42.71% | ||
| 6.70% | 山崎隆之 | 1776 | 55.02% | ||
| 1.69% | 木村一基 | 1657 | 70.82% | ||
| 0.11% | 勝又清和 | 1480 | 87.05% | ||
| 0.06% | 阪口悟 | 1446 | 89.10% | ||
| 0.06% | 松本佳介 | 1447 | 89.05% | ||
| 準決勝 | 35.63% | 永瀬拓矢 | 1942 | 31.99% | 4.24% |
| 35.57% | 伊藤匠 | 1966 | 29.06% | ||
| 11.68% | 糸谷哲郎 | 1832 | 46.98% | ||
| 8.25% | 広瀬章人 | 1844 | 45.27% | ||
| 3.30% | 千田翔太 | 1730 | 61.45% | ||
| 2.07% | 佐々木大地 | 1753 | 58.27% | ||
| 1.08% | 郷田真隆 | 1695 | 66.10% | ||
| 0.84% | 吉池隆真 | 1695 | 66.10% | ||
| 0.57% | 行方尚史 | 1621 | 74.91% | ||
| 0.53% | 冨田誠也 | 1676 | 68.51% | ||
| 0.47% | 柵木幹太 | 1649 | 71.76% | ||
| 0.01% | 西山朋佳 | 1416 | 90.67% | ||
| 決勝 | 12.50% | 斎藤慎太郎 | 1867 | 42.01% | 2.15% |
| 11.97% | 藤本渚 | 1862 | 42.71% | ||
| 11.31% | 増田康宏 | 1837 | 46.27% | ||
| 9.03% | 佐々木勇気 | 1802 | 51.29% | ||
| 8.83% | 渡辺明 | 1813 | 49.71% | ||
| 8.25% | 佐藤天彦 | 1792 | 52.73% | ||
| 8.04% | 豊島将之 | 1797 | 52.01% | ||
| 7.31% | 羽生善治 | 1831 | 47.12% | ||
| 2.83% | 大橋貴洸 | 1764 | 56.72% | ||
| 2.70% | 菅井竜也 | 1716 | 63.34% | ||
| 2.69% | 澤田真吾 | 1761 | 57.15% | ||
| 2.62% | 青嶋未来 | 1750 | 58.69% | ||
| 2.53% | 古賀悠聖 | 1745 | 59.39% | ||
| 1.97% | 上野裕寿 | 1739 | 60.22% | ||
| 1.87% | 髙見泰地 | 1731 | 61.31% | ||
| 1.29% | 稲葉陽 | 1672 | 69.00% | ||
| 1.09% | 池永天志 | 1703 | 65.06% | ||
| 0.84% | 大石直嗣 | 1699 | 65.58% | ||
| 0.78% | 屋敷伸之 | 1666 | 69.73% | ||
| 0.60% | 佐藤康光 | 1673 | 68.88% | ||
| 0.36% | 石井健太郎 | 1655 | 71.05% | ||
| 0.25% | 横山泰明 | 1649 | 71.76% | ||
| 0.23% | 佐々木慎 | 1627 | 74.25% | ||
| 0.08% | 渡辺大夢 | 1561 | 80.83% | ||
| 0.03% | 生垣寛人 | 1552 | 81.62% | 注：「合計期待勝率」は例えば２回戦ならば、 ２回戦を勝ち抜く確率を示す。 ・合計期待勝率＝１つ下の対局の合計期待勝率× （対戦相手ごとの登場確率×期待勝率の総和） | |